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2024-12-14 10:42:59
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The performance of deep thinking AI model exceeds the existing weather forecast. A study published in the new issue of Nature reported the latest machine learning model introduced by deep thinking. The model can make reliable probabilistic weather forecast according to current and future weather, and its performance not only exceeds the best traditional medium-range weather forecast, but also can better predict extreme weather, tropical cyclone route and wind energy production.CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.During the year, A-share companies threw out nearly 1,000 single and medium-term cash dividend plans. According to Wind statistics, as of December 11th, 940 listed companies have thrown out 994 single and medium-term cash dividend plans this year, with the number of them increasing by 269.41% year-on-year. The total amount of dividends involved was 667.519 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 166.24%. Among them, 791 orders have been implemented, and dividends have reached 360.768 billion yuan; 203 single pending implementation, the total amount of dividends to be paid is 306.751 billion yuan. (Securities Daily)


Guotai Junan: A shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. Recently, Guotai Junan's 2025 strategy meeting will be held in Shenzhen. The conference made an in-depth discussion and comprehensive outlook on the hot topics of market concern and the investment strategy in 2025. Fang Yi, chief strategist of Guotai Junan, said in an interview that the bottom of the A-share market has emerged, which is optimistic about the prospects of China stock market. The key driving force for the market to start comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference. After a long period of continuous adjustment, the pessimistic expectation and microstructure of A-shares are fully clarified, and the positive signal of decision-makers to steady economic growth and support the capital market is an important cornerstone for the upward revision of long-term expectations and the elevation of the bottom of the stock market. Looking forward to the A-share market in 2025, Fang Yi said that there is still room for the optimistic policy expectation at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, and A-shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. However, in the case of rising geopolitical conflict risks, the stock index may face a staged headwind. However, as the market stabilizes and revises the economic and policy expectations, the stock index is expected to strengthen again in the second half of 2025. (shanghai securities news)Most ETFs in the US stock market closed up, with semiconductor ETFs rising by over 2.4%, Broadcom by over 6.6% and NVIDIA by over 3.1%. On Wednesday (December 11th), semiconductor ETFs closed up by 2.45%, Internet stock index ETF rose by over 2%, global aviation ETF, optional consumer ETF, technology industry ETF and global technology stock index ETF rose by 1.81%-1.17%. Semiconductor concept stocks rose almost across the board, Broadcom rose by 6.63%, NVIDIA Double Long ETF rose by more than 6.1%, Laidisi Semiconductor rose by more than 5.9%, NVIDIA rose by 3.14%, while Intel, Cisco, stmicroelectronics ADR and Chipscreen fell by 0.2%-0.65%.Trump's NASA candidate called his future SpaceX mission a "question mark". On Wednesday, Jared Isaacman, a billionaire in science and technology, who was selected by President-elect Trump, said that his planned private astronaut mission with Musk's SpaceX company "is still a question mark and may be put on hold for the time being" because he is going to enter the government department to lead NASA.


The Swiss National Bank sharply cut interest rates by 50 basis points, and the Swiss National Bank lowered the benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points to 0.50%, which is the fourth consecutive interest rate cut. The market generally expects to cut interest rates by 25 basis points.The output of new energy vehicles takes the lead to seize the new highland of intelligent competition. BYD, GAC Ai 'an and Xpeng Motors, these new energy vehicle brands have helped Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area become the highland of new energy vehicle industry in China. The data shows that one out of every four new energy vehicles in China is "made in Guangdong". At present, a number of leading enterprises in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area have emerged, such as Shenzhen Yinwang, Zhuoyu, Wen Yuan Zhixing, Xiaoma Zhixing, Desai Xiwei and Sagitar Juchuang, which have formed a perfect intelligent networked automobile industry chain. According to the insiders, intelligentization provides power for the "second half" of the development of new energy automobile industry, and Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area is seizing the new highland of intelligent networked automobile industry.Chief Financial Officer of Uber: "Very confident". At least in the first few quarters of 2025, the mobile business will grow at a rate of "10% to 20%".

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